April
Win Rate 20.76% (we aim for 20% or better)
Winner Average Odds 6.54 (Our aim 5.5 or above)
Bankroll close to +200%
Result we’re doing good but long way to go.
April & May
Total Bets 230
Bets Lost 182
Bets Won 48
Win Rate 20.87%
Winner Average Odds 5.80
May Loss -15.7 points
April and May +54.5 points
Dismal month, as the rains came so did the losers which bit deeply into April’s profits.
On a brighter note the stats are still ok W/R above 20% at 20.87% and average win odds above 5.50 at 5.80 of course they looked a lot healthier at the end of April.
On a personal note half way through the month I mistakenly thought the weather was going to change so I increased stakes by 33% (ever the optimist) making things a lot worse. “You pays your money and you takes your choice.”
There’s still a lot of juice in the ground so it may take awhile to dry out, what we don’t want is to go into a drought which would result in the clerks of the courses getting their watering cans out and causing mayhem.
Winning month losing month makes no difference we carry on as normal until the end of October.
Good luck with whatever you do.
April/May/June
June, we made a small profit but it certainly didn’t feel like it.
Making a moderate profit until the 24th but 6 days later we’d nearly blown the lot.
4 winners from 38 bets average price 5.25 in that time, was grim and upset the stats.
The stats are where I concentrate to try and balance win/rate and average win price, the latter is solid at 6.02 but the win/rate has dropped below 20% to 19.10% not good and must be corrected.
July satistically is our trickiest month probably due to the thunderstorms and flooding we regularly get so caution is called for.
Going forward the stats will hopefully correct themselves, they usually do and we can have a successful month, if conditions are ok come August we can think about stepping things up a gear.
Overall stats:
W/R 19.10%
AWP 6.02
Total Bets 377
Bets Lost 305
Bets Won 72
July was yet another losing month showing around a 4 point loss not a lot but still a losing month, it's not been our best season so far, decent start but treading water since.
On a brighter note in April we went into profit on the second day and remained in profit ever since so we haven't had to sell the family silver.
We have decent years and we have good years even the odd great one and though this season so far hasn't been the best, it only takes a good month or two and everything changes.
Here's hoping.
The average price of our winners is still good at 7.11 but the S/R is almost 2% down and we need to get it back up to 20%
Though not setting the world alight win wise still managed to get accounts closed with Ladbrokes and Corals they must be feeling the pinch.
Thank you very much, well done! The best site around. If I may ask, does the total bets refer to all the top-rated ones? Or only to Flat Races and most likely only Handicaps? I don't think they are F&Fs, but something more. Thank you, and greetings from your Italian fan living in Munich(Germany)