Hereford 1.30
£8.00 Win Bet Musique De Fee 4/1
£2.00 Win Bet Thirtyfour Thirty 16/1
Sandown 1.50
£2.50 Each Way Elysian Knight 16/1-18/1
£2.50 Each Way Not So Woolly 16/1-18/1
1/5 Odds
1-2-3-4-5
Gowran Park 2.10
Grimaud 11/10-5/4
Win Bet
Sandown 2.25
£2.50 Each Way Sorceleur 14/1-16/1
£2.50 Each Way To Chase A Dream 20/1-18/1
1/5 Odds
1-2-3-4-5
Wolverhampton 2.45
£4.25 Each Way Symbol Of Light 7/1-15/2
£1.50 Win Bet Local Hero 5/1-11/2
1/4 Odds
1-2-3-4
Wolverhampton 3.20
£6.00 Win Bet Royal Zabeel 5/1-11/2
£3.00 Win Bet Jabaara 2/1
£1.00 Win Bet Golden Mind 16/1
Sandown 3.35
£9.00 Win Bet Goshen 3/1
£1.00 Win Bet Hubrisko 8/1-9/1
Hereford 3.45
Yes Day 11/10
Win Bet
Wolverhampton 3.55
£9.00 Win Bet Miami Matrix 6/4
£1.00 Win Bet Arizona Rock 11/1-10/1
PREVIEWS
Hereford 1.30
4/1 Bobalot, 4/1 Musique De Fee, 11/2 Kentford Mallard
6/1 Get Cracking, 7/1 Newtonian, 8/1 Heart Of Rome
8/1 One Man Party, 9/1 Miss Pearl, 20/1 Our Flying Angel
25/1 Thirtyfour Thirty, 50/1 Orange Diamond
100/1 Bellever Tor.
Handicap Hurdle 3m 1f
Opposing the following
NEWTONIAN ran 15 days ago
Did not do enough to trust here
ORANGE DIAMOND weak sire
BELIEVER TOR is outclassed
OUR FLYING ANGEL is a mare
Happy to avoid with a long break
HEART OF ROME is an 8yo
Not too strong on sire statistics
May also be underraced this year
MISS PEARL is a 9 year old mare
Not safe goingup in distance
KENTFORD MALLARD a 12yo
Could not risk him going up a mile
That leaves 4
BOBALOT
MUSIQUE DE FEE
GET CRACKING
ONE MAN PARTY
If we go back to 2011
No horse has won this
When rated 80 or lower
ONE MAN PARTY is rated 76
He's ran once in 96 days now
BOBALOT has a chance
But has plenty of weight with 12st
This season he has ran twice
But that was 1 race and 5 hurdles
Before he unseated last time out
That makes him difficult to read
MUSIQUE DE FEE is a mare
With a good run just 6 days ago
Happy to have her on the staking
GET CRACKING is a 7yo
Been chasing so hard to read
But unexposed and a fit profile
Not sure if this will work out...
Go back to 2009
Handicap Hurdles
Any distance
Any class
With over 5 runners
Any time of year
Horses aged 7 or older
Under 8 career starts
Coming from a chase
That was a non graded one
That was over 2m 6f or more
Running within 110 days
Carrying 11st or more
Return a 0-57 record
That is one big messy angle
GET CRACKING does fail it
THIRTYFOUR THIRTY topweight
Is he doing enough to trust him ?
Not sure but his last run at Chepstow
Was a first run for a new stable
May have been a bit too soft there
All things considered
Playing it this way
Selection
£8.00 Win Bet MUSIQUE DE FEE 4/1
£2.00 Win Bet THIRTYFOUR THIRTY 16/1
Sandown 1.50
7/2 Meetmebythesea, 4/1 Belliano, 5/1 George's Lad
6/1 The Kemble Brewery, 12/1 Peso, 14/1 Elysian Knight
14/1 It's Hard To Know, Not So Woolly, 16/1 Kepler's Law
16/1 Silver Thorn, 20/1 Laurens Bay, 25/1 Disco Davis,
25/1 Followcato, 25/1 Malinificent, 33/1 Aviation
33/1 Off The Jury, 40/1 Illegal d'Ainay, 50/1 Ken Roy
Novices' Handicap Hurdle
Graded race 2m 4f
Might be a high class race
But it is only a simple 0-129
Ben Pauling won this last year
With an unexposed improver
Tries to do the same here
MEETMEBYTHESEA a 5yo
Has raced just 3 times so far
He also comes from a 2m race
Horses with under 5 runs
Coming from 2m 2f or shorter
Have a 0-32 record in this
The following horses fail this
MEETMEBYTHESEA
PESO
MALINIFICENT
Horses from 2m 2f or shorter
Carrying 11st 7lbs or more
Have a 0-24 record in this
The following horses fail this
MEETMEBYTHESEA
PESO
THE KEMBLE BREWERY
THE KEMBLE BREWERY a 6yo
Has topweight and 80 days off
The last 26 winners of this race
All ran in the previous 76 days
THE KEMBLE BREWERY doesnt
IT'S HARD TO KNOW off 70 days
Given that may have too much weight
KEPLERS LAW has raced 3 times
None like him had so much weight
LAURENS BAY is a not safe enough
Beaten 25 lengths n his latest start
GEORGE'S LAD is a 5yo
He has 4 runs and 11st 11lbs
Horses aged 5
Carrying 11st 9lbs or more
Have a 0-15 record so far
Horses aged 5
Under 6 career starts
Carrying 11st 7lbs or more
Also have a 0-15 record so far
GEORGE'S LAD fails both angles
May just have too much weight
Acceptable Profiles
BELLIANO has a chance
Not unlike last years winner
3 horses with similar profiles
Also come out like winners
NOT SO WOOLLY
ELYSIAN KNIGHT
SILVER THORN
None of the negatives
Are completely convincing
Statistics just feel too tight
Bound up like a coiled sping
BELLIANO most likely winner
But he is on the short side 5/1
With 5 places available
Would rather go this way
Selection
£2.50 Each Way ELYSIAN KNIGHT 16/1-18/1
£2.50 Each Way NOT SO WOOLLY 16/1-18/1
1/5 Odds
1-2-3-4-5
Gowran Park 2.10
13/8 Grimaud, 3/1 Captain Ryan Matt, 7/1 Imarajan
7/1 Sixtripleeight, 12/1 Fierce Handay, 14/1 I Feel Fine
16/1 Can Happen, Tackletommywoowoo, 20/1 Harpy Eagle
20/1 Zuzukel, 28/1 Glendower, 33/1 Bop Wont Stop
50/1 Welcome Aboard, 66/1 Killala Bay, Pension Plan
66/1 Siege Ofjadotville, Union Alley, 125/1 Sparrow Wings
150/1 Nobody, 150/1 Tippinaway
Maiden Hurdle 2m
Market suggests a match
GRIMAUD v CAPTAIN RYAN MATT
Hard to disagree with that
IMARAJAN is only a 4yo
With just 1 run in 142 days
Plenty to find on ratings too
Plenty of others look beatable
GRIMAUD sets the standard
Maybe able to upgrade last time
Trying to stay 2m 4f on soft ground
Sires record was not encouraging
With horses as inexperienced
CAPTAIN RYAN MATT a 5yo
Has had 2 hurdle runs so far
On numbers he is right there
But 25/1 last time puts me off
Coming from a major stable
Should go well no negative
GRIMAUD may be too streetwise
Selection
GRIMAUD 11/10-5/4
Win Bet
Sandown 2.25
11/2 Bo Zenith, 13/2 Go Dante, 7/1 Lump Sum
7/1 Spirits Bay, 8/1 Batman Girac, 10/1 Afadil
10/1 Ooh Betty, Wreckless Eric, 12/1 Knickerbockerglory
12/1 To Chase A Dream, 14/1 King William Rufus,
14/1 Sorceleur 16/1 We're Red And Blue, 20/1 Big Ginge
25/1 Hardy Du Seuil, 25/1 Tintintin, 40/1 Tapley
Imperial Cup
2m Handicap Hurdle
Horses rated 0-147
LUMP SUM is topweight
Tough race to carry 12st
Horses with 11st 5lbs or more
Have a 0-55 record since 2004
Horses aged 6 or older
Carrying 11st 6lbs or more
Have a poor 0-55 record
The following horses fail this
LUMP SUM
KNICKERBLOCKERGLORY
GO DANTE won this last year
This year not in as good form
He is also 9 years old now
The last 9yo winner
Was way back in 2004
He (Sconced) was unexposed
Lightly raced with less weight
Opposing all these 9 year olds
GO DANTE
KNICKERBLOCKERGLORY
Horses with 3-12 hurdle races
Won 13 of the last 15 renewals
Horses with over 12 hurdle runs
Have a poor 2-96 record in this
Those aged 7 or younger
With over 12 hurdle runs are 0-54
The following horses fail this
AFALDIL
TINTINTIN
OOH BETTY
Those absent over 30 days
With over 12 hurdle runs are 0-35
The following horses fail this
AFALDIL
OOH BETTY
Those with 10st 6lbs or more
With over 12 hurdle runs are 0-61
The following horses fail this
GO DANTE
OOH BETTY
Horses with over 12 hurdles
Beaten 7+ lengths last time are 0-53
The following horses fail this
KING WILLIAM RUFUS
GO DANTE
TINTINTIN
TAPLEY
Recent winners of this race
Had the following runs that year
3 1 6 3 3 4 8 5 8 4 8 3 6 6 3 3 8
Horses aged 6 or older
With over 4 career races
Having under 3 runs that season
Have a 0-39 record in this race
HARDY DU SEUIL fails this
He looks underraced this year
Horses aged 5 or more
More than 5 career runs
Absent over 36 days
Carrying 10st 8lbs or more
Have a 0-61 record in this
The following horses fail this
HARDY DU SEUIL
OOH BETTY
TO CHASE A DREAM
TO CHASE A DREAM only just fails
But he is not the biggest of horses
To be fair he's won at Cheltenham
Since the 2009 renewal
Horses from Novice or Maidens
Have a 0-49 record in this handicap
BIG GINGE has this problem
WERE RED AND BLUE does
SPIRITS BAY is a 7 year old
Borderline profile statistically
He has a 49 day absence
Bit more than any 7yo winner
Would not want more weight
But can turn a blind eye to it
But not ideal from a grade 2
Only 1 past winner managed it
BO ZENITH is a 5 year old
He fails a couple of angles
But only just fails marginally
From a top stable forgiveable
BATMAN GIRAC is a 5yo
He has a tough weight 11st 4lbs
Most 5yo winners with big weights
Were lighter raced than he is
But close enough to shortlist
WRECKLESS ERIC is a 5yo
Lightly raced and 7 weeks off
With a light weight shortlistable
SORCELEUR ran 7 days ago
Beaten too far in a lower grade ?
Possibly but he was badly ridden
And he was eased considerably
Has a very light weight to help him
More optimistic than confident
But if he runs to his best figures
He has every chance of a place
And if so he could also win
Selection
£2.50 Each Way SORCELEUR 14/1-16/1
£2.50 Each Way TO CHASE A DREAM 20/1-18/1
1/5 Odds
1-2-3-4-5
Sandown 3.35
5/2 Dreaming Blue, 11/4 Hoe Joly Smoke
5/1 Excello, Goshen, Java Point, 10/1 Hubrisko
Handicap Chase 3m
Horses rated 0-137
GOSHEN is a 9 year old
Enigmatic hurdler
He's now had 4 chase runs
No idea what makes him tick
But his record in small fields
Suggest that may be crucial
The way I look at this
If we can get EXCELLO beaten
His last chase was a year ago
And his last 2 runs were poor
GOSHEN then rated 137
Only faces a 0-128 class field
In a small field
He is surely better than 0-128
DREAMING BLUE might win
Sired by Showcasing over 3m
Would not be a big selling point
JAVA POINT likes small fields
But a 10yo and pulled up last time
HOLY JOLY SMOKE is a danger
HUBRISKO is a cheap saver
GOSHEN is given a chance
Just because he looks well placed
Selection
£9.00 Win Bet GOSHEN 3/1
£1.00 Win Bet HUBRISKO 8/1-9/1
Hereford 3.45
2/1 Langley Hundred, 2/1 Yes Day
9/2 Gris Majeur, 11/2 Micro Millions
7/1 House Of Stories.
Novices' Handicap Chase 3m 1f
YES DAY is topweight
Rated 116
3rd at Market Rasen last time
Met horses rated much higher
With the following official ratings
121 113 111 114 120 118
Today he faces a 0-109 field
LANGLEY HUNDRED a danger
But he is much more exposed
Has a couple of months absence
HOUSE OF STORIES a 9yo
Has ran once badly in a year
GRIS MAJEUR pulled up last time
MICRO MILLIONS has a chance
He could be an optional saver
YES DAY may outclass these
Annoying he has shortened
Selection
YES DAY 11/10
Win Bet
Wolverhampton 3.55
13/8 Miami Matrix, 5/2 Honved, 100/30 Fearnot,
8/1 Art Of Fox, 10/1 Arizona Rock, 25/1 Crackamour
50/1 Fighting Queen, 66/1 It's Tim.
3yo Novice 7f
MIAMI MATRIX has 2 runs
Sets the standard so far
Has a penalty to overcome
But would rather take him
Over his unraced dangers
Some of them from stables
And from sires as well
You would not be convinced
Would deliver on debut at 7f
All 5 past winners of this
Had previous experience
With 4 1 2 2 1 career runs
Would not see him as a banker
Or see him as outstanding value
But he should go very close
ARIZONA ROCK is a cheap saver
A few lengths behind him on debut
Selection
£9.00 Win Bet MIAMI MATRIX 6/4
£1.00 Win Bet ARIZONA ROCK 11/1-10/1