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Account bet
Fairyhouse 2.10
MIGHTY MEGGSIE 13/2-7/1
Each Way
1/4 Odds
1-2 Places
Only 1-2 places available
I am the taking 3 places
Available on Betfair 4/5 +
I would suggest the same
But impossible to use this
Not everyone will get it on
Unusual bet has it's flaws
Hope it's a clever strategy
But it is quite speculative
Preview Selections
Curragh 1.25
Hippodrome 5/1
Each Way
York 1.30
Three Yorkshiremen 6/1
Each Way
1/5 Odds
1-2-3-4
Newmarket 1.50
5.00 Win Bet Flying Honours 10/11-4/5
5.00 Place Bet Galactic Jack 11/8
York 2.05
Bolt Action 7/2-100/30
Each Way
Fairyhouse 2.10
Mighty Meggsie 13/2-7/1
Each Way
1/4 Odds
1-2 Places
Newmarket 3.00
Aesop's Fables 13/2-7/1
Each Way
1/4 Odds (1-2)
York 3.15
4.50 Each Way Popmaster 12/1-14/1
1.00 Win Bet Strike Red 14/1
1/5 Odds
1-2-3-4-5
Newmarket 4.50
8.00 Win Another Romance 13/2
1.00 Win Bet Pink Crystal 8/1
1.00 Win Bet Azure Blue 8/1
York 5.00
4.50 Each Way Eeetee 10/1-11/1
1.00 Win Bet Faylaq 10/1-11/1
1/5 Odds
1-2-3-4-5
Curragh 5.30
No Selection
Today's Message
Little time for any chit chat
Messages are in good form
But we need a big Saturday
Including a staked bet win
There were just 2 options
To try and get that winner
York 2.05
BOLT ACTION 7/2-100/30
Each Way
Feels like the most solid bet
But there are only 8 runners
One more and we lose a place
Don't enjoy staking these bets
Not everyone appreciates them
And they hurt more when losing
Feels like one of the best bets
Fairyhouse 2.10
MIGHTY MEGGSIE 13/2-7/1
Each Way
1/4 Odds
1-2 Places
Quite a controversial bet
Plenty can go wrong here
But it is a generous price
There are just 1-2 places
I would go to Betfair here
Take 3 places available
Using their 3 place market
Would not be fair to stake it
So I have to accept 2 places
More details given below
Down in the U.T.M. column
I am only betting 2 horses
Bold Action with a saver
Mighty Meggsie each way
Staking one of these
And as is often the case
It is the least likely winner
Bolt Action should be the bet
But brings problems with it
Underneath The Message
2 Personal Bets
Both differ from advised stakes
York 2.05
32 Win Bolt Action 4/1 Betfair
8 Win Bay of Plenty 7/2-4/1
Fairyhouse 2.10
30 Win Mighty Meggsie 13/2-7/1
30 Place Mighty Meggsie 4/5 + (1-2-3)
Rather than bet each way
Using the 1-2-3 place market
Sadly can't use that for a bet
Other thoughts
Curragh 1.25
Hippodrome 5/1
Each Way
Interesting race to watch
Always is with draw stats
But there are trust issues
Do we want to trust Aidan
The horse is drifting a bit
It is a good bet on paper
Not convinced on grass
The market will help later
If he is shorter than 5/1
I'd be far more confident
York 1.30
Three Yorkshiremen 6/1
Each Way
1/5 Odds 1-2-3-4
Moving from an Aidan blue blood
To a Richard Fahey handicapper
I quite like the statistics in this
But asking a lot to get them right
See this as a smaller interest bet
Newmarket 1.50
Win Bet Flying Honours 10/11-4/5
Place Bet Galactic Jack 11/8-6/4
Will be quite disappointed
If we lose all of our stakes here
I am tempted to have this bet
But does not offer much profit
York 2.05
Bolt Action 7/2-100/30
Each Way
Suggesting this each way
As long as all 8 horses run
If not I'd go win and saver
And that's what I am doing
20 Win Bolt Action 7/2-100/30
6 Win Bay of Plenty 7/2-4/1
Fairyhouse 2.10
Mighty Meggsie 6/1
30 Win Bet
30 Place Bet 1-2-3
Newmarket 3.00
Aesop's Fables 13/2-7/1
Each Way
1/4 Odds (1-2)
Expecting the worst here
Aidan again- market weak
Minimum stakes for this
If I was bothering here
I would probably pivot
Win Bet Aesop's Fables
Place Bet Naval Power 4/5
Using the 3 place market
York 3.15
4.50 Each Way Popmaster 12/1-14/1
1.00 Win Bet Strike Red 14/1
1/5 Odds
1-2-3-4-5
Can not split this pair
Heavy duty statistical preview
Fascinating to review afterwards
Maybe £2.50 each way on both
Would be a more sensible stake
Not going to bother with a bet
Non runners may yet damage us
Newmarket 4.50
8.00 Win Another Romance 13/2
1.00 Win Bet Pink Crystal 8/1
1.00 Win Bet Azure Blue 8/1
Like the angles in this race
Bit vulnerable win and savers
But optimistic on right lines
Had to guess from a shortlist
York 5.00
4.50 Each Way Eeetee 10/1-11/1
1.00 Win Bet Faylaq 10/1-11/1
1/5 Odds
1-2-3-4-5
Can not split these easily
I would rather one did not run
To save me from the choice
Race may be a little too hard
Small interest bets no more
Curragh 5.30
No Selection
Just a few thoughts+theories
No idea if the market will allow
Any of my theories to be used
PROFILES & PREVIEWS
Curragh 1.25
5/2 Harsh, 7/2 North Dorset, 9/2 Hippodrome
9/2 Milwaukee, 11/2 Trachonitus, 9/1 Dancing Cloud
16/1 New Variant, Our Boy Wes, 25/1 Rossmore Nation
33/1 Sapristi, 50/1 Eyeeye, 66/1 Donbeg Reel
66/1 Thats Jet, 100/1 Jarvis Brook, 100/1 Serotonin.
2yo Maiden 9f
HARSH trained by Joseph
Sired by Dark Angel as well
Dark Angel 2 year olds
Running over 9f and more
With under 2 career starts
Have a 2-62 record so far
On Good or softer just 1-51
HARSH shares this profile
Not a negative on that angle
Neither a ringing endorsement
The draw is interesting
Curragh 9f
Any races since 2011
Horses drawn 10 or higher
With under 5 career starts
Have a 0-56 record in them
No inexperienced horses
Have overcome high draw
Several outsiders fail this
So do the following fancied
OUR BOY WES drawn 15
DANCING CLOUD drawn 13
TRACHONITUS drawn in 12
MILLWAUKEE unraced drawn 11
NORTH DORSET is unraced
Might win but from a sire
Who's unraced 2 year olds
Have yet to win beyond a mile
HIPPPODROME has 2 runs
Decent enough debut run
He was not the stable choice
Last time out some excuses
Failed him then for a bad draw
Given the discovered issues
He looks the percentage bet
Selection
HIPPPODROME 7/2-4/1
Each Way
York 1.30
4/1 Grey's Monument, 5/1 X J Rascal, 6/1 John Chard VC
6/1 Surely Not, 8/1 Prince Nabeel, 8/1 Three Yorkshiremen
9/1 Pol Roger, 10/1 Greycious Anna, 10/1 Spioradalta
14/1 Metahorse, Sound Pressure, 33/1 Vince Le Prince.
8f Nursery
X J RASCAL has topweight
But he is also drawn 12 of 12
Go back to 2005
All York 8f races
Under 13 runners
Horses drawn 10-11-12
Have a poor 2-70 record
Those aged under 4 are 0-38
Those absent over 2 weeks 0-44
X J RASCAL fails both angles
SOUND PRESSURE does too
JOHN CHARD VC does as well
He only has 3 career starts too
Only 5 past renewals of this
But they all had 4 or more runs
Horses with under 4 runs 0-17
Going to oppose the above 3
SPIORADALTA looks wrong
Would question her class here
SURELY NOT did not feel safe
His sire National Defense a worry
Has not bred a 2yo winner at 8f
GREY'S MONUMENT is respected
But stall 1 could be a problem
Go back to 2003
York 8f races
With 10 or more runners
Horses under 4 years old
With under 9 career runs
Drawn in stall 1 are 0-25
GREY'S MONUMENT fails this
No horse has won this race
With more than 9st 5lbs
All 17 that tried were beaten
METAHORSE has 9st 9lbs
POL ROGER has 9st 9lbs
Go back to 1997
York Nurseries
Any distance
Any class of race
Any time of year
Horses with 9st 8lbs or more
Have a 0-12 record in them
Only 12 tried but none won
The following all fail this stat
METAHORSE
POL ROGER
X J RASCAL
GREYCIOUS ANNA is respected
Fillies score well in this nursery
But she was unplaced last time
In a race that was 2 grades lower
THREE YORKSHIREMEN
Has a safe profile and momentum
Selection
THREE YORKSHIREMEN 6/1
Each Way
1/5 Odds
1-2-3-4
Newmarket 1.50
10/11 Flying Honours, 7/1 Dear My Friend, 8/1 Blanchland
9/1 Batemans Bay, Galactic Jack, 12/1 Liftoff, 16/1 Band Of Steel
16/1 Tenerife Sunshine, 20/1 Metal Merchant.
Zetland Stakes
Not the bravest of previews
Expecting the favourite to win
FLYING HONOURS offers most
Stamina crucial in this race
He is one of the few I'd trust
Comfortable edge on numbers
Could easily have a win bet
The one horse I can fear
GALACTIC JACK around 8/1
Stamina does not look an issue
Could improve a lot to take this
Flying Honours 10/11 could be a saver
Galactic Jack 8/1 + as the main selection
Would end up with a price around 7/2
Money back if the favourite wins this
But decided to go win and place bet
Selection
5.00 Win Bet FLYING HONOURS 10/11-4/5
5.00 Place Bet GALACTIC JACK 5/4-11/8
York 2.05
15/8 Alpha Capture, 4/1 Bolt Action, 9/2 Rousing Encore
13/2 Bay Of Plenty, 8/1 Felix Natalis, 16/1 Kyeema
16/1 Miami Girl, 25/1 Mehme.
Rockingham Stakes
2yo Listed race 6f
Thought this was interesting
ALPHA CAPTURE is respected
But has raced once in 44 days
Doesn't sound problematic
But if we go back to 2014
Horses with just the 1 race
In the previous 6 weeks
Have a 0-37 record in this
ALPHA CAPTURE fails this
ROUSING ENCORE does too
Past renewals show
Horses with under 4 runs
Carrying 9st 1lbs or more
Have a 0-27 record in this
ALPHA CAPTURE fails this
BAY OF PLENTY does too
BAY OF PLENTY has 1 run
Past winners
Had the following runs
6 7 8 7 4 5 7 1 7 8 5 6 2 4
4 7 9 3 6 4 9 3 4 5 7 7 3
24 of the last 26 winners
Had at least 3 career starts
BAY OF PLENTY fails this
Despite saying that
Do not be shocked if he wins
He is coming from Ireland
Big reputation and backed
He could easily take this
BOLT ACTION though
Has an eye catching 9 day break
Multiple times this race
Went to horses with recent runs
Horses with over 3 runs
Running within 11 days
Starting under 14/1
Have a strong 9-22 record
A strike rate of 40.91%
Will this come too soon ?
I hope not as pound for pound
He looks the best value for stakes
Selection
BOLT ACTION 7/2-100/30
Each Way
Fairyhouse 2.10
13/8 Brides Hill, 4/1 Broomfield Hall
4/1 Happy D'ex 5/1 Mighty Meggsie, 5/1 Return To Base
100/1 Caddy Shack.
Mares Beginners Chase
5 horses could win this
This is a strange one
So many lack chase experience
MIGHTY MEGGSIE does not
Her last 5 chase runs
2nd 2nd 2nd 2nd 2nd
The Racing Post argue
" Fairly solid form in defeat and can put
her chase experience to good use but
some of these have achieved more over
hurdles so potentially vulnerable"
They could well be right
But looking at it another way
How many rivals are suitable ?
HAPPY D'EX is only a 5 year old
August to November
Mares Novice +Beginners Chases
Any distance
Horses aged 5
Having their chase debut
Have a 0-39 record in them
HAPPY D'EX fails this statistic
Go back to 2010
Novice + Beginners Chases
For Mares
Any distance
Horses aged 5
Having their chase debut
Coming there from either
A novice or maiden hurdle
Have a 0-43 record in them
HAPPY D'EX fails this too
BRIDES HILL is another 5yo
She is having her chase debut
She has 165 days absence
Go back to 2007
Mares Novice + Beginners Chases
Run over 2m 3f and shorter
Any time of year
Horses aged 5
Having their chase debut
Absent over 23 days
Have a 0-51 record in them
BRIDES HILL has this profile
Not sure about the above
Neither of these 5 year olds
Are matchable to winners
But this is a small field race
And that will affect statistics
RETURN TO BASE is unsafe
Pulled up in her only chase
Looks the stable second string
BROOMFIELD HALL is a 7yo
Chase debut with 163 days off
He could win if he is ready
MIGHTY MEGGSIE is a 6yo
Sets the chase standard so far
She has had 5 chase races
Runner up in all 5 of those
Her figures are consistent
Nothing outstanding but solid
She should exploit any chinks
And some look to have chinks
Tempted by win and saver
But also by this each way bet
Selection
MIGHTY MEGGSIE 6/1
Each Way
1/4 Odds
1-2 Places
Newmarket 3.00
6/4 Nostrum, 7/2 Chaldean, 7/2 Naval Power
13/2 Aesop's Fables, 10/1 Isaac Shelby
20/1 Marbaan, 20/1 Royal Scotsman.
Dewhurst Stakes
Looked at this midweek
Had issues with the favourite
24 of the last 26 winners
Had raced at least 3 times
NOSTRUM has raced twice
Horses with under 5 runs
Running within the last 20 days
Have a 0-35 record in this race
NOSTRUM shares this 0-35 profile
Plenty were fancied failing this
Decided to oppose him
The ideal profile
One of Aidan's
Winning the National Stakes
AESOP'S FABLES is almost there
But he finished only 4th in that
But it was very soft ground there
He was odds on to win that race
And could easily bounce back
There are multiple excuses
Why he may have been beaten
Aidan openly questioned the trip
Suggested stamina beat him
Not impossible but debatable
This is also on quicker ground
At the price happy to forgive him
Room for a saver bet if required
But could be wrong about Nostrum
So going for an each way bet (1-2)
Selection
AESOP'S FABLES 13/2-7/1
Each Way
1/4 Odds (1-2)
York 3.15
15/2 Dusky Lord, 9/1 Lethal Nymph, 10/1 Lucky Man
11/1 Gulliver, 11/1 Laugh A Minute, 12/1 Mr Wagyu
12/1 Dakota Gold 14/1 Admiral D, 14/1 Bergerac
14/1 Popmaster, 14/1 Silver Samurai, 16/1 Bielsa
16/1 Hyperfocus, 16/1 Strike Red, 18/1 Air Raid
18/1 Gisburn, 18/1 Volatile Analyst, 20/1 Abolish,
25/1 Zarzyni, 28/1 Gis A Sub, 33/1 Exalted Angel.
Coral Sprint Trophy (6f)
Class 2 Handicap
Past winners
Had the following absences
21 21 21 21 56 7 21 14 21
7 8 14 21 14 14 15 8 10
17 renewals since 2003
16 winners ran within 21 days
Including the last 4 winners
Came from the Ayr Gold Cup
AIR RAID has been off too long
EXALTED ANGEL has been too
September to November
Class 2 Handicaps (6f)
9 or more runners
Horses aged 7 or more
Absent more than 21 days
Have a 0-148 record in them
DAKOTA GOLD fails this angle
BIELSA almost fails that as well
Happy to pass him up aged 7
High Draws are a concern
Go back to 1999
Every 6f race at York
Horses drawn 21 or more
Have a 1-64 record in them
LAUGH A MINUTE is drawn 21
GULLIVER is drawn 22 of 22
Horses drawn 17 or higher
Having over 9 career runs
Have a 0-54 record in this
The following horses fail this
GIS A SUB
GULLIVER
ADMIRAL D
LAUGH A MINUTE
GISBURN
York
6f Handicaps
Since 2006
Any time of year
Horses with over 9 runs
Absent longer than 2 weeks
Drawn in stalls 16 or higher
Have a poor 1-143 record
The following horses fail this
GULLIVER
ADMIRAL D
BERGERAC
Go back to 2003
Horses from 5f races
Have a 0-53 record in this race
ZARYNI has this problem
LAUGH A MINUTE does as well
MR WAGJU is older than ideal
He has 9st 12lbs to carry as well
Horses with 9st 8lbs or more
Have a 0-32 record in this race
MR WAGJU has this problem
DAKOTA GOLD does as well
VOLATILE ANALYST won last year
But his recent figures are shocking
HYPERFOCUS looks too old
ABOLISH lacks enough positives
Ideal Profile
10 of the last 11 winners
Had the following profile
Horses aged 3-4-5-6
Rated 96 or higher
Between 9st and 9st 7lbs
Running within 56 days
2 + runs in the last 12 weeks
Coming from 6f 7f
Not Listed or Group 2-3 races
Drawn in stalls 19 or lower
Horses with this profile
DUSKY LORD
LETHAL NYMPH
LUCKY MAN
POPMASTER
GIS A SUB
SILVER SAMURAI
GIS A SUB fails an earlier draw angle
LUCKY MAN is a 3 year old
Very exposed with 18 runs now
Go back to 2000
York 6f Handicaps
Class 3 and higher
Any time of year
Horses aged 3
Over 11 career starts
Absent over 4 days
Have a 0-72 record
LUCKY MAN fails this statistic
ADMIRAL D fails this as well
GISBURN fails this and more
SILVER SAMURAI is a 5yo
He has had 35 days absence
September to October
York 6f Handicaps
Horses aged 5 or more
More than 18 career runs
Absent over 22 days
Have a 0-46 record in them
SILVER SAMURAI fails that
Almost all previous winners
Had a more recent run than him
DUSKY LORD won the Silver Cup
Will stall 1 cause him problems ?
Go back to 1997
York 6f Handicaps
With over 10 runners
Any class of race
Any time of the year
Horses aged
Drawn in stall 1
Carrying 9st 2lbs or more
Have a 0-57 record in them
DUSKY LORD has this profile
Unusual mix age draw weight
But its accurate none did it
DUSKY LORD is rejected
As this is a generic statistic
Shortlist
LETHAL NYMPH
STRIKE RED
POPMASTER
LETHAL NYMPH is a 3yo
Lightly raced drawn in stall 16
Not really something I'd want
But the 2011 winner of this race
Had a very similar profile to him
Won from the same prep race
And did that from stall 19 too
But he is only a 3 year old
And on soft ground not for me
STRIKE RED gets on the shortlist
Not included in the best profile
As he is only rated 90 right now
Prepared to overlook that issue
Last run was a career best figure
He has the shortest absence
Arguably the fittest profile as well
Last years race
POPMASTER was 7th
STRIKE RATE was 9th
STRIKE RATE was ridden badly
Jockey chose the wrong side
POPMASTER was drawn in stall 1
Failed the above draw/weight stat
That Dakota Gold fails this year
Ran poorly in the Ayr Gold Cup
But drawn 23 alone on the rail
Killed any chance he had anyway
And horses have won this race
Having been well beaten at Ayr
Selection
4.50 Each Way POPMASTER 12/1-14/1
1.00 Win Bet STRIKE RATE 14/1
1/5 Odds
1-2-3-4-5
Newmarket 4.50
9/2 Gale Force Maya, 9/2 Manaafith, 11/2 Chil Chil
13/2 Primo Bacio, 7/1 Another Romance, 8/1 Pink Crystal
9/1 Azure Blue, 10/1 Nizaaka, Tenaya Canyon, 33/1 Kitty Marion
33/1 Lovely Mana, 40/1 Cuban Breeze, 40/1 Golden Spice
40/1 Makarova, 50/1 Kingmania.
Boadicea Stakes
Listed race fillies (6f)
GALE FORCE MAYA
Finished second in this last year
I opposed her as she had 29 runs
Past renewals show
You want 5-20 career runs
Horses with over 20 races
Have a 0-42 record in this
GALA FORCE MAYA now has 39
So going to oppose her again
CHIL CHIL has 23 career starts
She also looks too exposed
As do some of the outsiders
CHIL CHIL fails another angle
Horses coming from a 5f race
Have a 0-34 record in this race
No 5 year olds run this year
Horses aged 6 or more
Have never won this race before
Going to oppose the 6 year olds
GALA FORCE MAYA is a 6yo
CHIL CHIL is also a 6 year old
KITTY MARION is as well
Past renewals show
You want 5-20 career runs
MANAAFITH has had only 4
I can happily forgive her this
With her 1st and 2nd favourites
Failing more significant angles
But she has ran once in 2022
Ideally you want 4 + runs this year
Not a negative but not my choice
The ideal profile
Since 2003
16 of the last 18 winners
The previous 12 winners
All shared this profile
Aged 3-4-5
Running within 6 weeks
Between 5 and 20 runs
Coming from a Class 1-2
Beaten under 12 lengths in it
Coming from 6f or more
Rated 85 of higher
At least 4 runs this year
Leads to the following shortlist
13/2 Primo Bacio
7/1 Another Romance
8/1 Pink Crystal
9/1 Azure Blue
10/1 Nizaaka
10/1 Tenaya Canyon,
TENAYA CANYON drawn 15 of 15
May be ok but 20 races already
She almost fails my exposed stat
And was well beaten in this last year
NIZAAKA must be on the risky side
Having never raced over 6f before
You don't want to come from 5f
PINK CRYSTAL comes from 5.5f
Shes improved through handicaps
Could win but needs a little more
PRIMO BACIO is a 4 year old
You are better off with 3 year olds
She is quite exposed now as well
Decided to split stake 3 year olds
Selection
8.00 Win ANOTHER ROMANCE 13/2
1.00 Win Bet PINK CRYSTAL 8/1
1.00 Win Bet AZURE BLUE 8/1
York 5.00
9/2 Lattam, 6/1 Ziggy, 8/1 Mustazeed, Yorkshire Lady
10/1 First Impression, 11/1 Diamond Ranger, Faylaq
12/1 Eeetee, 14/1 Fishable, Vulcan, 16/1 Chichester
16/1 Geremia, 16/1 No Nay Nicki, 20/1 Highwaygrey
22/1 Jean Baptiste, 25/1 Myristica, 28/1 Jewel Maker
28/1 Titian, 33/1 Perseverants.
10f Handicap
York
10f Handicaps since 2006
Horses drawn 18 or more
Have a 1-77 record
The following all fail this
FIRST IMPRESSION
GEREMIA
MYRISTICA
York
10f Handicaps since 2006
Horses with over 15 career runs
Drawn in stall 14 or higher
Have a 0-149 record in them
The following also fail this
CHICHESTER
HIGHWAYGREY
YORKSHIRE LADY
ZIGGY is favourite
He may well go and win too
But 141 days off the track
Combined with 9st 13lbs
Happy to look elsewhere
TITAN has a nasty absence
NO NAY NICKI is a 3yo filly
Up in trip with an absence too
PERSEVERANTS can't win
DIAMOND RANGER wrong from 7f
Past renewals show
Horses down in class
Coming from Class 2 races
Have a poor 1-53 record in this
The following fail this angle
VULCAN
YORKSHIRE LADY
GEREMIA
FISHABLE
LATTAM has 3 career runs
Looks a bit inexperienced
When you factor in stall 1
MUSTAZEED is a 4 year old
Just 2 runs in 12 months
Might win but not my choice
Shortlist
EETEE
FAYLAQ
EETEE was on a hat trick
When he failed on sand last time
Missed the break on a new surface
Was not knocked about either
FAYLAQ is well handicapped
Needs luck but running into form
Selection
£4.50 Each Way EETEE 10/1-11/1
£1.00 Win Bet FAYLAQ 10/1-11/1
1/5 Odds
1-2-3-4-5
Curragh 5.30
11/2 Conversant, 7/1 Princess Sela, 10/1 Mogwli
12/1 Cnodian, 12/1 Heavenly Power, 14/1 Lion Ring
14/1 Miss Molly T, 14/1 Sounds Of Spring, 16/1 Showmolina
16/1 Zephron, 18/1 Andromedas Kingdom, 18/1 Ducky Mallon
20/1 Breezy Zoff, Claonadh, 20/1 Dragons Call, 20/1 Elanora
20/1 Wiggle Room, 22/1 Inflection Point, 22/1 I Markievicz
22/1 Midnight Fire, 22/1 I Pollanassa, 22/1 I Poppy Petal
25/1 Silent Performance, 25/1 Hector Berlioz, Shabaaby
25/1 Tammany Hall, Wild Eyed Girl, 28/1 Joyous Moment
28/1 Numoor, 33/1 Latin Fury.
6f Handicap
Crazy race
32 runners
Probably have no chance
Draw is fascinating
Best guess is stalls 3-18 may be best
Look at the 3 shortest priced horses
CONVERSANT is drawn 1
PRINCESS SELA is drawn 2
HEAVENLY POWER is drawn 32
Go back to 2017
Curragh 6f handicaps
Over 15 runners
Horses drawn 1 are 0-62
Horses drawn 2 are 0-62
Horses drawn in stalls 1-2
Have a 0-124 record since 2017
CONVERSANT has a bad draw
And could be on the bounce
PRINCESS SELA has a bad draw
She is only a 4 year old filly
HEAVENLY POWER is also badly drawn
Don't really want to pick a winner
As some past winners of this race
Have won with long absences
Or having lightly raced seasons
Which reduces possible negatives
SOUNDS OF SPRING is an example
Just 1 run in the last 153 days
Normally a natural negative profile
But can not assume that in this race
Best Guess
CNODIAN around 10/1
But there is another option
Multiple lay bet
Lay the following horses
Conversant 5/1
Princess Sela 5/1
Heavenly Power 8/1
You will probably end up
On a bet around 4/5 or 10/11
With 29 of the 32 runners on side
Just need to beat these 3 horses
Selection
No Bet