Preview Selections

Leicester 2.40

Menalippe 9/1

Each Way

Catterick 2.55

7.00 Win Bet Spartakos 8/1

3.00 Win Bet Mr Trevor 9/4-5/2

Today's Message

MENALLIPE is on the drift

I am worried about her class

But feel 9/1 is very generous

Very unusual that both races

I have gone with low weights

Not something I do very often

Everything points to low stakes

Two stronger previews ruined

So today has been compromised

But a light day will help me out

With Doncaster starting tomorrow

Yesterday's Summary

Brighton did not go very well

The card comfortably beat us

Nothing back from 4 previews

Canagat managed only fourth

The Haveoneyerself split stake

Was just picking the wrong one

That was a toss of the coin job

Right to be wary about the card

But was hoping for a big better

Lost the Newton Abbot preview

It was more a percentage bet

Got done by a fancied debutant

Platinumcard finished in second

Stakes back but needed a win

To rescue those earlier results

PROFILES & PREVIEWS

Leicester 2.40

4/1 In The Storm, 4/1 River Usk, 5/1 Brasilian Princess

5/1 Menalippe, 8/1 Martha's Moment, 10/1 Bojink

12/1 Bellazzo, 12/1 Chester Tonik, 12/1 Mint Edition

33/1 Emerald Duchess.

7f Nursery

Several smell fancied in this

Lot of money for some horses

Lots of tips for others as well

You can make a decent case

For most of these improvers

CHESTER TONIK is rejected

Beaten too far just 3 days ago

EMERLAND DUCHESS is poor

There are 2 horses

With similar profiles here

RIVER USK

BRASILIAN PRINCESS

They have 3 runs

They step up in trip

They run within 10 days

Not enough like them run

To be sure about opposing them

But inexperience and recent runs

Quite often do not mix very well

RIVER USK was 80/1 last time

He's raced once since June

Drawn 1 a lot can go wrong

BRASILIAN PRINCESS a filly

Has been green and backward

She is likely to improve from here

But this angle puts me off her

7f Nurseries

Any time of year

Class 4 or lower

Fillies from 6f or shorter

Under 4 career starts

Running within 14 days

Have a winless 0-31 profile

None have managed to win

She could be the class horse

Won't be shocked if she wins

But I do not like her profile

MINT EDITION is similar

He has 4 runs with this profile

But unseated at the start in one

You can win with 3 runs many do

But I'd be happier with more here

BELLAZO has 3 runs and a break

Might win but doesn't smell fancied

Has ran poorly twice in a row too

IN THE STORM

He has 5 runs

Decent recent form

Lots to like about his chance

But drawn 10 of 10 may hurt

MARTHARS MOMENT is a filly

She has experience on her side

But a poor stable difficult to trust

Filly with 32 days off and 9st 8lbs

Not ruled out but not first choice

MENALIPPE

One of the lightweights

Thats my main problem with her

Rated 58 will she has the class ?

Otherwise plenty to like about her

Plenty of excuses for recent runs

Twice in her last 4 races ran at 5f

She is too stoutly bred for that trip

Outpaced at Chelmford over 5f

Drawn widest at Catterick over 5f

Her Doncaster run was very poor

But said to have hated the ground

And was heavily eased once beat

Last time at Kempton her best race

That may well have tuned her up

She ran into a big stable improver

Not sure she has the class

But bred to love this extra furlong

Has experience and fitness onside

Disappointed if 3 horses beat her

Selection

MENALIPPE 9/1

Each Way

Catterick 2.55

11/4 Mr Trevor, 5/1 Rain Cap, 6/1 Global Humor

8/1 Min Till, 12/1 Regal World, 12/1 Swinging Eddie

14/1 Idoapologise, 14/1 Magical Effect, 14/1 Spartakos

14/1 Variety Island, 20/1 Josiebond, Where's Diana

25/1 Twin Appeal, 33/1 Sequeira Lady, Turbo Command.

7f Handicap

The lowest 2 rated horses

Also have the 2 highest draws

REGAL WORLD one of these

MAGIVAL EFFECT the other

Feel that is a negative sign

Catterick

24 similar races in September

Horses with under 6 runs

Have a 0-22 record in them

SEQUEIRA LADY fails this

MIN TILL also fails this

July to December

Catterick Handicaps under 11f

Class 6 races

Horses aged under 6

Under 5 career starts are 1-121

SEQUEIRA LADY fails this

MIN TILL also fails this

Catterick

24 similar races in September

Horses aged 6 or older

Have a poor 1-69 record in them

Opposing the older horses

Especially with big weights

Horses with 9st 8lbs or more

Have a 0-21 record in this race

SWINGING EDDIE is a 6yo

Has more weight than is ideal

GLOBAL HONOUR is similar

He is a 7yo with a big weight

TWIN APPEAL rejected aged 11

JOSIEBOND is a 6 year old

He looks underraced this year

RAIN CAP won over 6f last time

Similar races

August September October

Horses winning 6f races last time

Absent more than 2 weeks

Return a 0-40 record in them

RAIN CAP is not like a winner

WHERE'S DIANA has not done enough

VARIETY ISLAND is shortlisted

Not keen on the smaller stable

Not even sure he stays this far

But stall 1 at Southwell hurt him

He was also drawn 1 at York too

And this is a fair drop in class

But the ground is a major worry

IDOAPOLOGISE a 5yo is unsafe

He is coming here from a 5f race

SPARTAKOS is a 4yo

Whilst not rich in backclass

He certainly has a chance here

Won two runs ago unlucky last time

24 similar races at Catterick

Geldings aged 4

Over 22 career starts

Running within 4 weeks

Coming from 7f races

Beaten under 10 lengths there

SPARTAKOS has this profile

MR TREVOR has this profile

MR TREVOR on a hat trick

Switching back to grass today

Needs to be on the staking

Split staking this race

Selection

7.00 Win Bet SPARTAKOS 8/1

3.00 Win Bet MR TREVOR 9/4-5/2